Tuesday, 2 September 2014

Why we'll regret what (didn't) happened on the market for us - Inter's transfer market evaluated

September 1st - last day of the transfer period this summer. We all know it's the day when the most exciting action happens on the market. We hear things about top players like Falcao jumping ships every hour, while giants like Man City, Man Utd, Real Madrid etc. cross swords and create bidding wars that spiral out of control. Us Interisti also had the rare pleasure of watching Rube's fans nurture empty hopes for the Colombian.You win some, you lose some.

I personally woke up the morning of September 1st with a keen air of hope around me. The first thing I did with my eyes half closed was get my laptop into bed, turn it on and start Twitter to see if my Inter is involved in the action yet. I still had the taste of Il Professore's hat trick against Sjarnan, the wonderful night when there was magic in the air even though we were playing a squad that was impressed by simply being at the Meazza. I wanted to forget the poor game against Torino - this was the year those performances become the exception instead of the rule. I went to sleep the night before with a perfect scenario in my mind. Inter had given away Ricky Alvarez on loan to Sunderland with an option to buy set at 11 million euros. We'd got rid of Silvestre and Schelotto, gave away a couple of youngsters, gave Taider away (twice!). We only lacked getting rid of Guarin and Kuzmanovic, at which point a new era would have begun. We even sent Ruben Botta out on loan to Chievo. At this point, the squad was more or less clear - especially the attack. Two days prior to this I read that Walter Mazzarri had left Fredy Guarin out of the squad to face Toro. Not an hour later it was announced that PSG coach Laurent Blanc left out Lavezzi for the weekend out of a personal decision - there were no injuries or suspensions involved. The situation picked up steam as Inter's fans remembered that not 3 days earlier, Thohir came out and said that Ausilio was talking to PSG about Lavezzi. Meanwhile, Valencia started bidding for Guarin. It was there, it was about to happen. We were loaning out Guarin and had Valencia buy him next May and our target was none other but the long expected Pocho.

September the 1st was very disappointing for me, as I think it was for most Interisti around the world. There was barely a whisper about Lavezzi all day long, as Giacomo Bonaventura from Atalanta emerged as the new main target for Inter - IF they managed to sell Guarin. I asked myself how I could be so wrong in judging the situation. "It was Thohir who said it!", I said to myself. Some 3-4 hours before the Mercato ended, I accepted the fact that we weren't getting Lavezzi and pretty much stopped following what happened next. I remember seeing Milan getting Biabiany, then he went back, then they signed Bonaventura (in what looked like a minute). Inter were left bare.
I'd like to explain why September 1st disappointed me so much as an Interista. I don't think Ezequiel Lavezzi is a class above Inter in terms of quality. There are players on our squad that can give him a run for his money and I refuse to accept the crazy regulations of the market as the standard by which I measure the quality of a player. There is one fact that remains, though - Lavezzi would have been the perfect piece to finish a wonderful puzzle that Ausilio started putting together this summer. Why I think so? Well, Pocho is a very good player, obviously. He is also one who had the best days of his career in Italy. By some chance, it happened while under our very own Captain Caveman (Walter Mazzarri). Apart from this, as I mentioned above, Inter had sold their forwards (all but Icardi, Palacio and Osvaldo) and now needed another one to give WM the necessary attacking options for us to play different formations and avoid the predictability that defined us last season (4-3-3; 4-3-2-1; 3-4-2-1 were all mentioned this summer). We can't play 4-3-3 with only Icardi/Palacio/Osvaldo. We can't play 3-4-2-1 with Kovacic and Hernanes behind Icardi. They're both better in midfield, not to mention we lack the squad depth.

Here's my scenario now (mind you, it's a dark one): First, we all saw the game against Toro. I'll be the first one to say I don't give a crap about the referee's performance when I look at our own (the referee, the disgrace that he was, didn't kill our game). We were slow, lacking ideas and aggression, seemed demotivated and lazy. It was like it was the middle of the season and we were worn out by the fantastic 15 games we'd played before. Except we hadn't.

Now, fast forward a couple of months. It happens sometimes that we play a game every 3 days. Imagine Rodrigo Palacio, the poor guy we've been mercilessly draining for the past 2 seasons, at age 32 with an ankle injury he's been carrying since the World Cup this summer. Imagine if he goes down injured, knowing just how much he's been doing for the team since he arrived (seriously, by far our best player over the last few seasons, amazing work rate too, wish we'd bought him sooner). Now take into consideration Osvaldo's inconsistency in the past. Icardi's need for good service (the boy's a killer, but ONLY when provided with a good ball to nest into the net). And, Guarin, I hear, is our 4th forward for this season. "Don't buy the tickets for the seats behind the goals" says enough, I believe. Finally, imagine Mazzarri's 3-5-1-1 and picture Icardi all alone in front of the opposition's goal - not a single ball spelling danger for their goalkeeper. Now move on to hearing what Mazzarri has to say after we draw at home v.s. Cesena. One of the excuses will be that we lack the firepower up front. The tragic part is - he'll be right and this will mask all the other mistakes he might be making in the meantime. Suddenly, we are fighting with claws and nails to stay in the Europa League and to qualify for it again next season. The Champions League is beyond imagination at this point. Even if we get to buy a fantastic forward in January, the damage will most likely already be done. Then comes next summer, when our brightest like Kovacic, Icardi, Handanovic, Juan Jesus etc. decide that they are worth more than this. They've been promised more than this and will get better offers elsewhere. Suddenly, we might even struggle to pay off Medel, M'Vila, Dodo and Osvaldo. Even Vidic might realize what a mistake he's made coming to a club that doesn't match his ambition, playing in a league where touching a player gets you punished with a penalty and applauding the referee gets you sent off in your first game in the league.
You can imagine what's next.

To clarify, I am a huge fan of Ausilio's work this summer, prior to September 1st. I think that buying Vidic, M'Vila, Medel, Dodo and Osvaldo gives us huge potential. We barely wasted any money on them, too!
BUT! Failing to buy a forward and leaving the squad incomplete YET AGAIN will cost us dearly, especially now that the rebuilding is well under way and the club has already started investing in it. The way I see it, we've created an Achilles' heel that will bring down the entire machine. I understand Thohir that football's about money to a huge extent today. I think the part he doesn't understand is that the money still comes mostly from good football results, it's a two way street. We simply never learn.

End note: After Juventus won their first game (with Max Allegri instead of Conte, mind you...) in a sparkling fashion (despite the result), with newbie Kingsley Coman getting the Man of the Match award... the joke seems to be on us, for now... 

Saturday, 26 April 2014

Why Hamsik to Inter is "mission impossible"

During the last couple of days, especially in the wake of Inter's fixture against Napoli in the Serie A, rumors started circulating that Napoli's talisman of the last few seasons - Marek Hamsik - could end up wearing our shirt next season. 
Word on the street is that Hamsik is unhappy with life in Naples this season, since Rafa Benitez (imagine that) came to take the place of Walter Mazzarri at the helm of the Partenopei. Of course, probably having nothing smarter to write about, the media are always waiting for this kind of situations to spark a fire in fans' hearts. 
Even though there are obvious reasons to believe that there is, indeed, interest from Inter to land the Slovak (he played the best football of his career under Mazzarri, who is now at Inter, and during this time he rose up to the very peak of Italian football; he has been having problems with his game and with injuries this season at Napoli and it is logical that he would consider leaving etc.), there are also some reasons that counter those arguments, and to me, the latter easily outweigh the former

There are two sets of reasons that assure me Hamsik won't be an Inter player next season; some related to Napoli and others related to Inter. 

Lets have a look at Napoli first. Napoli are sitting third on the table, seemingly surprised and very irritated by the fact that Roma are having a better season than they are, especially after all the investment they've made this season (investment which included Gonzalo Higuain, surely one of the best strikers in the world). Inter, on the other hand have appointed a new president, who is proving to be very ambitious and clear-minded, and who intends to bring Inter back to the top in the next few seasons. 
After spending so much time in the shadows (practically until Mazzarri came along), Napoli surely want to keep up the good work they've been doing in the last few years, and remain in contention for the CL spots each season, or even reach as high as the Scudetto should they be a little lucky (since Juventus is high above everyone else in Italy at this moment). Selling one of their best players, no matter how big a dip in form he has undergone this season, to one of their biggest rivals will surely not help them. De Laurentiis will surely not be excited by the prospect of Hamsik wearing an Inter shirt and reuniting with Mazzarri, because he knows the potential of the Slovak far too well. 
Even though chance inevitably survives that Inter could end up getting the midfielder for next season, this chance is minimal. Some say Inter's pursuit of Hernanes this winter had a very similar ring to it. Hernanes was Lazio's best player (he was also having a horrific season), and knowing Lazio's president, I don't think many people expected we would be able to land the Brazilian. After all, Hernanes is now wearing an Inter shirt, his arrival has had a rejuvenating effect on the team, and he hasn't even struck top form by a mile yet (I'm very enthusiastic about his potential progress this summer in the training camps with Mazzarri)! But, the situation with Napoli and Hamsik is actually very different. Lotito was forced to sell Hernanes because his contract was running out and because Lazio desperately needed to make some money off the transfer market. Napoli have taken in more cash in the last 2 years alone than Inter have in the last 5, more than anything by selling Cavani and Lavezzi to PSG. Napoli are a club that makes more money than Inter right now, they really won't be under pressure to sell Hamsik, because De Laurentiis has already stated that he is prepared to invest further to satisfy the expectations of Benitez. Least of all, Napoli won't sell to Inter, because after what Hamsik has done, he will surely attract the interest of many other clubs outside of Italy; clubs that are riched than Inter and can afford to splash more money on the Slovak, and clubs that won't be direct rivals to Napoli's yearly objectives in the Serie A. 

The second set of reasons is related to Inter. No matter how bad a season he's had, Marek Hamsik is a high profile player and commands a hefty price and probably pretty big wage demands as well. Unless Napoli are stupid enough to perform a "Sneijder exile" on Hamsik, Inter will have to waste a huge chunk of their transfer funds for this summer on one player. Also, it has to be mentioned that if Hamsik arrives, someone would have to leave, as the midfield is already overcrowded with players that think they deserve a starting spot. Hernanes will surely not be benched, the fans would go crazy if they see even less of Kovacic, and it will not sit well with Guarin if he has to sit out a season on the bench after signing a new contract with the club (surely he was promised to remain in the starting lineup, as he seemed to be one of Mazzarri's favorites until the recent game against Livorno, after which he was rested, in my opinion not because Mazzarri thought he wasn't good enough, but because he was under pressure of having to play Kovacic and because the fans were getting pretty frustrated with Guarin's latest show of inconsistency). There is also Alvarez, who I would gladly sell if I were in Thohir's stead, seeing as how he is back to being pretty average on the field, and he reportedly wants a huge wage for it now too. A midfield of Hernanes/Kovacic/Guarin/Alvarez/Cambiasso/Hamsik and perhaps one of Nilton/Obi Mikel is surely too much to expect for next season (I do hope we sell Kuzmanovic, Mudingayi and the other unnecessary players, though). Thohir says that we have to balance the money books all the time. Though this can't mean we won't buy any players at all, it surely also means we can't afford to buy a high profile player for an area of the field that already has a couple of good players that want to play all the time, in a time when we are also after a striker and perhaps a defender and wing back as well. 

So, bottom line:
* Napoli aren't under pressure to sell Hamsik, as the club is making lots of money lately, constantly qualifying for the CL
* Even if Benitez doesn't like Hamsik, De Laurentiis won't be dumb enough to let Hamsik reunite with Mazzarri at Inter, as he knows the player's potential
* Inter can't afford a player like Hamsik at a time when they have other positions in greater need of coverage, as the team is not complete yet
* Even if they decided upon splashing most of their transfer funds for this season on Hamsik, they would have to sell one of their current midfielders, and also bench someone who deserves to start (whether it's Kovacic or Guarin, doesn't matter), which can't be good for the team chemistry

As good as the thought sounds, seeing Hamsik at Inter is just a dream right now, and I think it won't turn into anything more, at least not this summer. The reasons for it are more than obvious.